Bill's Playoff Scenario

Everything is contingent on the Bills winning their final two games. The best-case scenario for them would be finishing alone in second place in the AFC East at 9-7 and winding up tied with San Diego for the conference's last wild-card spot. Under this scenario, Tennessee or Indianapolis would get the first wild-card spot.

The Bills also need the AFC North's second-place team to finish worse than 9-7. That appears likely because Pittsburgh is leading at 8-5-1 and Cleveland and Baltimore are both 7-7. All three play tough teams in their final two games. The Steelers play Tampa Bay and Baltimore; the Browns play Baltimore and Atlanta; and the Ravens have Cleveland and Pittsburgh.

Here's how the Bills can finish second in the AFC East: They win their last two games, Miami or New England loses its final two, and the New York Jets lose once. The Dolphins play in Minnesota and in New England. The Patriots' final two games are against the Jets and Dolphins at home. The Jets finish with Green Bay.

Understand? If not, take some aspirin and a nap.

It would be ideal for the Bills if San Diego and Denver lost their last two games. But the Bills could still beat out San Diego for the last wild-card spot if the Chargers beat Kansas City and lose to Seattle on the final weekend, and Denver loses to Oakland this Sunday. San Diego would then have the tiebreaker over Denver. The Bills, who beat the Chargers on Sunday, would have the tiebreaker over San Diego.

It appears either Indianapolis or Tennessee will get the first wild-card spot. Both have nine victories. The Titans play Jacksonville and Houston. The Colts play the New York Giants and Jacksonville.

The Bills would be history if both Miami and New England win next week, regardless of what Buffalo does against Green Bay. Of course, the Bills are finished unless they beat the Packers.

FYI: Packers quarterback Brett Favre is 33-0 in home games when the temperature falls below 34 degrees. Forecasts in Green Bay called for a chance of snow and temperatures between 30 and 35.

But there's always hope.